---
product_id: 14958993
title: "Beat the Crowd: How You Can Out-Invest the Herd by Thinking Differently (Fisher Investments Press) 1st Edition"
brand: "ken fisherelisabeth dellinger"
price: "¥5309"
currency: JPY
in_stock: true
reviews_count: 10
url: https://www.desertcart.jp/products/14958993-beat-the-crowd-how-you-can-out-invest-the-herd
store_origin: JP
region: Japan
---

# Beat the Crowd: How You Can Out-Invest the Herd by Thinking Differently (Fisher Investments Press) 1st Edition

**Brand:** ken fisherelisabeth dellinger
**Price:** ¥5309
**Availability:** ✅ In Stock

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- **What is this?** Beat the Crowd: How You Can Out-Invest the Herd by Thinking Differently (Fisher Investments Press) 1st Edition by ken fisherelisabeth dellinger
- **How much does it cost?** ¥5309 with free shipping
- **Is it available?** Yes, in stock and ready to ship
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## Customer Reviews

### ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ 5.0 out of 5 stars







  
  
    New Viewpoints
  

*by R***R on Reviewed in the United States on July 8, 2024*

The book style is engaging, succinct and sometimes humorous. It balances practical observation with a good measure of hard data and analysis, so the blend is convincing. Having read many books about investing over the decades--Lynch, Siegel, Bogle, Buffet, Malkiel--I am not easily impressed. However, this book was worth every minute spent reading and learning.

### ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ 5.0 out of 5 stars







  
  
    Spotting a Downturn in the Stock Market in Time
  

*by L***G on Reviewed in the United States on April 17, 2015*

If you are an active investor you will find this a fascinating and useful book. It teaches you how to spot when a bull market will become a bear market in time. That is get out before the decline. Fischer explains in great detail why the majority of investors gets out too early before the bull market has peaked  or too late when a bull market has already for a considerable period changed to a bear market. He shows how taking the Leading Economic Indicator, the LEI, seriously is the right way.Important reasons why investors get the timing wrong are lack of discipline and ignorance in the sense of wrong concepts. Discipline refers especially to not selling unnecessarily. Shares go up and down. Most investors when a position in a portfolio goes down consider selling and replacing it by a winner. They consider a small loss far more important than a large gain. This is behavior based on the past of what has already happened. Fischer points out that what matters is what is expected to happen in the next 30 months.Another important factor is the media that write about the stock market. People are more interested in bad news than good news, and therefore the majority of articles are written about short-term disappointments and negative developments further in the future than 30 months. His definite view is that both short-term opinions and extrapolations of the past and past 30 months predictions are useless for predicting changes from bull to bear and vice versa.Fischer points to more than thirty widely held views he considers wrong. Some examples. A high Price Earnings ratio (PE) has no validity in predicting a better or worse development than a low PE. Small companies do not have a superior long-term performance than large ones. The increase from long-term interest rates does not lead to a change in a bull market. Wars do not influence the stock market other than of the magnitude such as World War II. Fisher presents straightforward statistical proofs. He puts these concepts to tests to determine if these widely held view correspond to what happened in reality. It is necessary to look at a complete picture; there are always examples where these factors appeared to be right, but they are far fewer than when proven wrong. For learning to spot in time approaching bears and bulls this book is first class, five stars.Fisher frequently states that he is not a sociologist but nevertheless holds very negative opinions about politicians. Many people will have different views. His negative views of political leaders are so strong that they even get in the way of his statistical proofs. For example he states on page 132 that in 1938 the GDP started to increase when Franklin Roosevelt was president and on page 143 that a bear market reigned from 1934 to 1942. The reality is that already in 1934, FDR's second year in office, GDP increased with 10.8%. He states about the ACA on page 152 that the uninsured were reduced with between 7 to 10 million and on page 154 only with 1.1% which is only 3.5 million or half.Fisher as a non-sociologist has very definite opinions on government. He sometimes creates the impression that the kind of policies that President Hoover pursued most of the time of non-interference in the economy is the only right policy and political action. I nevertheless also enjoyed this part as he does also make thought-provoking comments on political action.

### ⭐⭐⭐⭐ 4.0 out of 5 stars







  
  
    A Solid Book, But Not Much New from Fisher
  

*by A***N on Reviewed in the United States on June 1, 2015*

Ken Fisher is a guru that get's it. He has a non-political perspective, which I appreciate, and his insights on overcoming conventional trading wisdom are fascinating and easy to follow. That said, this book doesn't offer much that Fisher's last three books didn't already address. If you haven't read those books, I recommend reading this one, as some of his analysis is updated to reflect more current data.The message of the book is simple: don't follow the herd, don't follow the anti-herd, do something else. Essentially, don't be a conformist, don't be an anti-conformist, be a non-conformist. It's a fair argument and many examples are provided to support his contention...they just happen to be the same examples he used in Debunkery, The Only Three Questions That Count, and Markets Never Forget. As a person who genuinely appreciates Fisher's sense of humor, candor, and insight, this book was a bit of a let down given that I've read his other books. If you haven't read those books, you'll likely enjoy this read (you needn't know much about financial markets to follow along).

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*Product available on Desertcart Japan*
*Store origin: JP*
*Last updated: 2026-02-08*